Hi Traders,
Happy Valentine’s Day and I hope everyone in the US will enjoy the long weekend. I am fortunate to not have been hit by the huge snow storm in the north-eastern states, although it is extremely cold here in Montreal.
I just wanted to share an interesting signal that the US Dollar is giving right now. As mentioned in previous Forex articles, the US Dollar has rallied considerably since December and now looks like it could begin heading back down. Using my swing trading technique of hidden MACD divergence, the chart below shows that there is underlying weakness in the recent highs of the USD.
Charting Tools Provided by MarketClubThe chart above shows that the US Dollar is making new short-term highs. The two most recent peaks on the candlestick chart are matched with two peaks in the MACD indicator below the chart. Note that although the USD is making new highs, the MACD is not going above it’s previous highs. This is bearish and usually marks a trend reversal.
This is highly speculative and although this technique works well, I do not recommend making any unwise trades and betting the farm on this. It is far more prudent to wait for confirmation before making any big moves. After confirmation, marked by a Red “Trade Triangle” on the MarketClub charts, is the safest time to go long again.
If the USD does indeed reverse to the downside, we will see the next leg up in Equities and Commodities. See my previous post for some stocks that have been performing well recently and could be interesting to get in on the dips.
Stay tuned and thanks for reading,
Jordi Perez
MarketSpaceTrading.com
